Not an easy ride this time for the Safforns


By Anupama Vimal

New Delhi: After the recent poll debacle in the Hindi heart land and the unison between Samajwadi party and the Bahujan Samaj party, the ruling Bharatiya Janata party will not have an easy ride in the coming parliament elections.

For the BJP, who was all powerful in Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh and Rajasthan, the humiliating defeat at the hands of the Congress in the December Assembly elections just months ahead of the Parliament elections, it is not seen to be a positive sign. Moreover, whether Modi would be able to reproduce his 2014 landslide victory is also really a big question.

Moreover, the victory in the three Hindi heart land states has given a morale boost to the Opposition.

Uttar Pradesh, which sends the largest member of 80 members to the Lok Sabha is going to be a nightmare for the Saffron party with a major alliance struck between the Bahujan Samaj Party and the Samajwadi party. In 2014 elections, the BJP had 73 MPs from Uttar Pradesh. However, the alliance between the regional parties is likely to cut through the BJP voters and the party is likely to show a poor performance in the coming elections.

Apart from this, various regional parties have joined together to fight out the BJP. The Congress’ comeback has also given confidence to those opposing the BJP and Narendra Modi.

In the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP had 282 members and the BJP led alliance had a total of 336 seats. Meanwhile, the Congress had only secured 44 seats with its alliance totalling only 60 seats in the last parliament polls. With all analysis and predictions coming out, the BJP is likely to lose about 50 of the seats that it got in the last elections.

The North Eastern states are a relief to the BJP where they have shown surprising victories in the last elections. In the last elections, the BJP had sent eight of its members to the Lok Sabha out of 25 seats. With More confidence in building its image in the North eastern sector, the BJP hopes to garner the maximum seats from the region. However, in West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress is likely to bag the most seats.

In Odissa, the Saffrons are going to have another tight fight with Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik’s Biju Janata Dal is a force to reckon with.
On the western side, Maharashtra is also not going to give the BJP the same results that it had in 2014. Low price for Agri products and Farmers suicide are all going to have an adverse impact here.

Down South, the BJP has already lose ground in Karnataka where it used to have a big base. In Telangana, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu, the regional parties have a better say here.

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